by darthbrowser » June 3rd, 2013, 1:48 pm
"What Europe and US sees is a strong government, a good example of a predominantly Muslim nation as a shining beacon to Middle East and a growing economy. What we see is our journalists being prisoned, our army dispersed and a government who single handedly changes the constitution to serve their purpose with the intention of slowly taking away our freedoms."
This is an interesting sentiment. Authoritarian governments rarely see economic progress. The reason Turkey's economy is growing is because of massive Western embargoes against trade with most of the Middle East. Turkey is pro-West, wheras many of the vocal muslim members of the Middle East, such as Iran, are the opposite. The rest, such as Saudi Arabia, maintain good relations with the West for buisness reasons but their political sympathies lie elsewhere (for example, Saudi Arabia is an absolute monarchy which has been known to use force against protesters).
This leaves Turkey as the only Muslim country in which Western investors feel confident to develop. Its pro-West political climate facilitates said economic confidence.
Turkey's support is also valued by the West: Turkey's position allows it to act as a buffer between the Middle East and the former nations of the Warsaw Pact, which have been known to try and interfere in the region.
Unfortunately, it is unlikely that the protesters will recieve help from the West, for two reasons:
1. From the West's point of view, Turkey becoming fundamentalist religiously will allow them to have a true Muslim ally - they currently do not. The other Western ally in the MIddle East as stable as Turkey is Isreal, which is not Muslim. Having a Muslim nation on their side could allow the West to have better relations with the other Muslim nations in the region.
2. Wide-scale revolts in Turkey could lead to a spill-over of Syria's civil war - a worst case scenario would include both nations engulfed in civil war. Such a situation would be diasterious. First of all, it would force Turkey's government to ally with Assad, as they would have a common enemy. Thus, the West would lose Turkey's political support. Second of all, such a conflict would destabilize the entire region, emboldening rouge states like Iran, while providing a threat to nations like Russia, which would likely mobilize its borders to prevent any spill-over of the violence.
